Sonoma Raceway

NASCAR Cup Series

How RaceModel predicts races here

Every race at Sonoma Raceway gets a full predicted finishing order, podium probability and DNF risk before the session starts. The prediction is frozen at that point and scored against the official classification afterwards, so the links below show what the model said in advance, not a retrospective fit. Track-specific behaviour (overtaking difficulty, safety-car likelihood, pit loss) enters the model as features rather than as separate per-circuit models.

Races at Sonoma Raceway